Markets struggled for direction on Friday with few inputs from
the news desk, but the prospect of a Greek deal next week enabled
benchmarks to extend their gains to the highest levels this year.
Cross-Atlantic developments had guided the markets on most of the
days the week, while robust economic data single-handedly boosted
the markets on Thursday. Thus, it was another week of strong gains
for the benchmarks, and the Dow was just marginally short of the
13, 000 mark.
On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) gained 0.4% to
close the day at 12,949.87. The Standard & Poor 500 (S&P
500) edged up 0.2% to close marginally higher at 1,361.23. The
tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index was the only one to miss out;
dropping 0.4% to close Friday's trading session at 2,951.78. The
fear-gauge CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) shed 7.5% and settled at
17.78. Total volume on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) was 3.72
billion shares. The advancers enjoyed an upper hand over the
declining stocks, as for 56% of the gainers, 40% of the stocks
traded lower. The remaining stocks were left unchanged.
Even as cross-Atlantic developments and tensions had investors
wondering whether benchmarks would be able to record another week
of robust gains, US economic data stepped in to drive optimism. On
Thursday, investors were greeted with robust data from the jobs and
housing sectors, both of which play huge role in shaping the
economy. The U.S. Department of Labor reported another drop in
initial claims, painting a rosy picture of declining unemployment.
Separately, according to a joint release from the U.S. Census
Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, both
building permits and housing starts reflected encouraging trends,
lifting the broader sentiment.
These developments in addition to Friday's gains culminated in
another week of gains and the Dow, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were
up 1.2%, 1.4% and 1.7%, respectively. The week ending on February
10 had been disappointing, largely due to Greek concerns. However,
the week ending February 19 came to a close on a winning note.
Investors remained largely optimistic about the Greek debt deal and
it is widely expected that the country will secure the next tranche
of its bailout package early this week.
On the economic front, consumer prices were reported to have
moved higher, buoyed by higher gasoline prices. The U.S. Bureau of
Labor Statistics reported that Consumer Price Index for All Urban
Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.2% last month, marking its highest rise in
four months. The increase in gasoline prices is a concern and it
can also adversely affect the economic recovery. Consensus
estimates had predicted the CPI to increase 0.3%.
Coming back to the benchmarks, the Dow is precisely 50.13 points
shy of hitting the psychological 13, 000 level. The last time the
Dow had witnessed such a level was in May 2008, a time before the
recession. Breaking the 13, 000 barrier would be a major
psychological boost for investors, who will definitely love to see
the Dow move back to pre-recessionary levels. However, during May
2008, unemployment was at 5.4% versus 8.3% now. Federal Reserve
Chairman Ben Bernanke had voiced his concerns about the long-term
prospects of jobs and the unemployment situation. Jobs markets have
been showing a positive trend in recent days, but are still far
behind pre-recessionary levels. The Dow's current level may
therefore not depict an accurate picture about the financial
scenario, which is fraught with European debt concerns.
As for the individual sectors, the financial sector was one of
the leading gainers and the Financial SPDR Select Sector Fund (
XLF
) was up 0.7%. As for the stocks of this sector, Citigroup, Inc.
(NYSE:
C
), JP Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:
JPM
), The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE:
GS
), U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:
USB
) and Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE:
WFC
) increased 0.6%, 1.2%, 1.0%, 0.9% and 2.4%, respectively.
CITIGROUP INC (
C
): Free Stock Analysis Report
GOLDMAN SACHS (
GS
): Free Stock Analysis Report
JPMORGAN CHASE (
JPM
): Free Stock Analysis Report
US BANCORP (
USB
): Free Stock Analysis Report
WELLS FARGO-NEW (WFC): Free Stock Analysis
Report
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