We are upholding our Neutral recommendation on
Rio Tinto plc
(
RIO
).
The global markets have undergone a significant structural
change over the past five years, reflecting the massive, material-
intensive growth cycle in China, India and other emerging
economies. The world has been witnessing rapid industrialization
and urbanization among the developing nations; which over time, has
reinvigorated massive commodity demand such as iron ore, copper,
and aluminum. This furthers Rio Tinto's financial prospects.
The company's key growth strategy over time has been its
continued run of acquisitions and investment, including its
increased interest in Ivanhoe Mines Ltd, acquisition of BHP's stake
of Richards Bay Minerals as well as investment in iron ore mines of
Western Australia. Thus, we believe Rio Tinto's long life, low-cost
assets, alongside a strong pipeline of attractive growth projects,
are expected to generate positive cash flow under all market
conditions. In addition, the company continues to strategize
divestitures alongside new growth projects in order to reduce
operational expenses while generating additional cash flow.
However, the cutthroat metals and minerals market cannot be
overlooked. The market is highly competitive, especially in Europe
and Asia, and in particular, in the emerging nations like China and
India, Japan, and other international markets. The principal
factors affecting mineral market competition are price, quality,
range of products, reliability, and transportation costs. Such a
competitive environment may dampen the company's growth.
Execution risk due to governmental delays on mining permit
issues, declining iron ore grades and natural disasters like
tropical cyclones, severe monsoon, and flooding have been
disrupting mining operations. This has been raising the company's
operating costs. In addition, a global rise in raw material costs
and energy prices continue to add to the woes. Also, significant
volatility in currency prices, mining cost inflation along with
increased resource competition have continued to impact the
company's top-line growth.
Demand for iron ore products is usually tied to worldwide demand
for steel, which is largely influenced by global economic activity.
The present instability and lower-than-expected world growth rate
raise our concern on the mining stocks. Moreover, risk of
re-occurrence of a global economic downturn may negatively impact
the share price as Rio happens to be a cyclical stock.
However, Rio remains committed toward returning value to its
shareholders, which is evident from a 34% increase in full year
dividend to $1.45 per share. We believe operational efficiency,
superior growth options and a positive long-term outlook have led
Rio to boost its annual dividend. Management remains positive on
2012 earnings, anticipating strong metals and minerals demand from
the emerging markets.
Of late, Rio Tinto reported net earnings (attributable to ADR
holders) for full-year 2011 of $5,826 million, down 59.1% year over
year from $14,238 million reported in full-year 2010. The decline
was primarily due to impairment charges related to the Group's
aluminum businesses. The consolidated sales, however, moved up 9.7%
y/y to $60,537 million, driven by a worldwide advance in prices of
metals and minerals as well as improvement in the company's
operational efficiencies.
Headquartered in London, UK, Rio Tinto plc is engaged in
exploring, mining, and processing the earth's mineral resources,
producing a broad range of metals and minerals. Rio Tinto competes
against global mining giants like
BHP Billiton Ltd
(
BHP
) and
Vale S.A
(
VALE
).
Rio Tinto has a Zacks #5 Rank, reflecting a short-term Strong
Sell rating (1-3 months).
BHP BILLITN LTD (
BHP
): Free Stock Analysis Report
RIO TINTO-ADR (
RIO
): Free Stock Analysis Report
VALE RIO DO-ADR (
VALE
): Free Stock Analysis Report
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