Auto sales in India fell last month, according to a recent
article
in the
Times of India
. But when economies sputter, consumers turn to cheaper cars, and
lower growth in India could give Tata Motors (
TTM
,
quote
) the same help Toyota Motors (
TM
,
quote
) and Volkswagon (
VLKAY
,
quote
) got in other markets.
While India grew by 8.5% last year, not all are optimistic about
the future. The IMF recently cut its
forecast
of India's growth to 7%. Moody's has
downgraded
the Indian banking sector to "negative" due to increasing bad
loans and the poor quality of lending institutions' assets.
The stagflation of the 1970s and early 1980s sparked the rise
of Toyota and Volkswagon in the United States. The same kind of
low growth, high inflation and rising fuel costs could drive
sales of the Nano, a no-frills car built for those ascending from
"two wheels to four wheels."
Nano sales have been
unimpressive
during India's good times. But now that that good times are
ending, Indians may be more willing to be seen driving the
cheapest car on the road.
TTM trades well in the U.S., but investors may also be
interested in the First Trust ISE Chindia Index Fund (
FNI
,
quote
), which covers many leading Chinese and Indian stocks and
devotes 4.28% of its holdings to Tata Motors.