Forex: EUR/USD setting up for major decline – DailyFX

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FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - Fitch lowered Greece's credit rating to C from CCC on Wednesday, and warned that a default is 'highly likely in the near term' as the group plans to categorize the region's debt as a 'Restricted Default' once the government concludes the PSI deal.

Mounting threats of a Greek default reinforces a bearish outlook for the Euro, and the single currency looks poised to give back the advance from earlier this year as the fundamental outlook for the region turns increasingly bleak, according to David Song, currency analyst at DailyFX.

"As the EUR/USD remains capped by the 100-Day SMA (1.3310), the pair appears to be putting in a lower top ahead of March, but we would like to see the pair close below the 50-Day SMA (1.3022) to set the stage for another test of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the 2009 high to the 2010 low around 1.2630-50", said the analyst.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.

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