We are big fans of the Turkish market around here, but it says
something when the world's second-biggest economy, growing at a
rate of nearly 9% a year, is trading at the same valuation.
China is indeed valued in line with Turkey, with the broad China
ETF
YAO
(
quote
) and the Turkish fund
TUR
(
quote
) both running at a P/E ratio of 8. And if that was not enough,
China is now priced at a record discount to its peers in the broad
emerging (
EEM
,
quote
)and developed (
EFA
,
quote
) markets. When China reopens on Monday following the lunar new
year break, we should see Shanghai pick up the baton and lead the
emerging markets again. Given recent macro data and liquidity
improvement -- per M2 growth in China and the Fed's policy globally
-- there are plenty of catalysts here. China is 16% of EEM, so any
big move in EEM has to include China. And on the flip side, if
China truly rallies, EEM almost has to move higher. Tomorrow is
your last chance to get into the ETFs and stocks before Shanghai
gets its first chance to react to what has been a strong week just
about everywhere else. On Monday, if Shanghai closes up, these
ticker symbols will almost certainly gap higher.