In terms of commodity futures ETPs, key products in the energy
market tend to outpace all others both for volume and assets under
management. While this could be due to a variety of reasons, the
fact that commodity futures in crude oil and natural gas are widely
used and traded certainly doesn't hurt. Additionally, ETPs in this
corner of the space tend to see less influence from unpredictable
weather and thanks to the large levels of supplies, aren't as
volatile when there is a supply crunch or glut.
Despite these factors which have helped ETFs in the energy
market like
UNG
and
USO
amass close to $2 billion combined, these trends have not spilled
into the rest of the energy market as well. In fact, many investors
have likely overlooked two important energy commodities in the ETP
space; heating oil and gasoline. These commodities, as represented
by
UHN
and
UGA
, have under $100 million in AUM, suggesting that they have a
fraction of the popularity that their counterparts in crude oil and
natural gas experience (see
Is USCI The Best Commodity ETF?
)
These paltry levels of investment come despite gasoline and
heating oil occupying spots at the top of the most widely traded
commodity lists, meaning that many have forgotten about the space
for their ETF trading. While investors may be overlooking the
sector, they are probably doing so to their own determent, at least
when looking at the previous 52 weeks of returns. Over this time
period, an investment in UHN or UGA would have thoroughly crushed a
similar purchase of UNG or USO. In fact, over the past year, UNG
has plummeted by close to 56.6% while the rest of the group managed
to gain for the time period. Yet of these three, there were also
huge differences as USO gained just 2.4% while UHN added 9.0% and
UGA soared by 18.8% (read
Cocoa ETFs Surge On Supply Worries
).
These differences come despite all four products using a similar
methodology for their investment processes. All four track front
month contracts for their respective commodities, rolling into the
next month when the current contract is within two weeks of
expiration. The only main difference comes from the expense ratios
as USO charges the least at 0.65% while UGA and UHN have expenses
of 0.8% and UNG charges the most at 85 basis points a year (read
Does Your Portfolio Need A Coal ETF
).
This should show investors that often times, the most popular
investment in a category isn't the best performing and that you
must sometimes go off the beaten path in order to capture outsized
returns. This was clearly the case in the energy market over the
past 52 weeks as all the products experienced very different
returns in the time period. Furthermore, the differences in the
returns among these products was astounding, suggesting that while
the products can exhibit high levels of correlation, there are
periods in time when they can move somewhat independently of each
other. Thanks to this, investors should look at all the products in
the space and not just the billion (or near billion dollar) funds
USO and UNG.
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