A majority of independent registered investment advisors have a
bullish stock market outlook over the next six months, according to
a Charles Schwab survey.
Fifty-six percent of RIAs consider themselves bulls, while only
10% consider themselves bearish towards the stock market, according
to the new survey. Moreover, 77% of RIAs expect the S&P 500 to
rise in the next six months, according to the Charles Schwab
Independent Advisor Outlook Study, a survey of more than 1,300 RIAs
representing $284 billion in assets under management.
"While there is still uncertainty in the markets and in various
parts of the world, independent investment advisors clearly think
we are turning the corner economically," said Bernie Clark,
executive vice president and head of Schwab Advisor Services.
Sixty-eight percent of advisors think consumer spending will
increase over the next six months, with only 17% expecting
unemployment to increase, according to the survey. Only 38% expect
the housing market will continue to soften, down from 53% in July
of 2010.
Thirty-nine percent said they are likely to invest more in
domestic large caps, while 28% plan to invest more of their
portfolio in international large caps in emerging markets and 22%
plan to increase investments in international small caps in
emerging markets. One in ten said they plan to increase their
exposure to China, while 56% plan to maintain their current
investments there.
The study also showed the increasing popularity of exchange
traded funds, with 84% saying they currently used ETFs, and 31%
planning to invest more in ETFs over the next six months.
Advisors are also citing more optimism with their clients, with
the number of clients needing reassurance over the past six months
dropping from 30% in July to 23%.
The survey also had advisors weigh in on recent headlines, with
64% saying U.S. Treasury yields will increase over the next six
months, 85% believing the extension of the Bush tax cuts will have
a favorable impact on the market, 55% indicating the Federal
Reserve's quantitive easing activities will have a favorable impact
and 64% believing inflation will increase over the next six
months.
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